Nifty 50 — Weekly View

Trend remains constructive above 50-EMA; India VIX low — premium-sell zone.

Setup

Nifty 50 is trading above the 50-day EMA for the third consecutive week, with ADX rising through 25 — confirming a real trend rather than a drift. India VIX is at 12.4, comfortably below the 13 threshold I use as a “premium-sell green light.”

Entry plan

• Strategy: Weekly Bull Put Spread
• Short delta target: 0.20–0.25
• Width: 100 points
• Risk per trade: 1% of NAV

Exits

• Profit target: close at 50% of credit
• Stop: if short strike is breached intraday by > 1× ATR
• Time: roll or close at 21 DTE if not yet at target

Notes

This is a vanilla mean-reversion-of-IV play. The signal here is the combination of trending price + low VIX — either alone is not enough.